WEB Notes: This has the potential to cause a lot of trouble for the governments of the world. Will it? Time will tell, but it reminds me of Chapters 2 and 3 in The Timeline of the Tribulation.
As an international relations theorist, it always baffled me that no one in the United States took the threat of European Union–U.S. confrontation seriously. There were no plans in either major party, not many serious research papers even dealing with this topic of an unlikely, but nevertheless, potential conflict of interest between two trade giants, one a slowly transforming empire, and another the undisputed hegemon of the Western hemisphere.
The lack of research or coverage in media is perhaps reflective of the complacent ideological conformity, or the liberal institutionalist bias in Western media and academia, but that’s a topic for a separate post. As of now, the U.S. and EU are heading for a full-blown trade war, and it was a long time coming. Fortunately for the U.S., private sector created 235,000 new jobs in February, thousands more than the predicted 195,000. There’s evidence that US Steel is rehiring people in factories. The U.S. domestic labor market, therefore, remains robust for now.
European Council President, Donald Tusk warned the U.S. that the EU would retaliate with proportional measures against U.S. tariffs on steel and aluminum. Tusk is under intense pressure in his native Poland, under the current Polish government, a strong ally of the United States. It made me wonder, what if tomorrow the United States declared that American troops won’t be stationed east of Danube anymore? Will the East and Central Europeans tear the EU apart?